Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.263666 0.309850 0.358969 0.414822 0.476292 0.541617 0.616017
2024-10-06 0.212179 0.276759 0.350038 0.438229 0.540388 0.653964 0.788727
2024-10-13 0.164187 0.238032 0.327309 0.440557 0.577803 0.736322 0.930793
2024-10-20 0.128971 0.207874 0.309312 0.444363 0.614667 0.817836 1.074016
2024-10-27 0.105873 0.188812 0.301667 0.458448 0.662916 0.913402 1.236253
2024-11-03 0.088111 0.173578 0.296332 0.473604 0.711742 1.010192 1.402012
2024-11-10 0.073582 0.160182 0.291276 0.487554 0.758374 1.104670 1.566625
2024-11-17 0.057134 0.140165 0.273721 0.481834 0.777338 1.163240 1.686569
2024-11-24 0.046559 0.127757 0.265716 0.488238 0.811898 1.241940 1.832936
2024-12-01 0.035764 0.112166 0.250388 0.481950 0.827523 1.295063 1.946464
2024-12-08 0.025668 0.094845 0.229535 0.464909 0.826048 1.324085 2.027956
2024-12-15 0.021007 0.088115 0.226043 0.474357 0.862669 1.405124 2.179083
2024-12-22 0.015218 0.076621 0.212530 0.466949 0.874600 1.453362 2.288918
2024-12-29 0.013170 0.074573 0.216786 0.489191 0.931800 1.565983 2.487622
2025-01-05 0.009808 0.066982 0.208830 0.489814 0.955599 1.631698 2.623401
2025-01-12 0.007300 0.060734 0.202621 0.492756 0.982693 1.702297 2.766674
2025-01-19 0.005877 0.057708 0.202926 0.507149 1.028021 1.799752 2.948231
2025-01-26 0.004763 0.055242 0.204084 0.522934 1.075733 1.901198 3.136365
2025-02-02 0.003794 0.052720 0.204704 0.537577 1.121795 2.000807 3.323018
2025-02-09 0.002422 0.046317 0.194747 0.531300 1.133180 2.049228 3.438086
2025-02-16 0.001702 0.042897 0.191720 0.538042 1.165988 2.129701 3.599161
2025-02-23 0.000961 0.037491 0.182295 0.531265 1.175630 2.175346 3.710972
2025-03-02 0.000390 0.030925 0.167913 0.513017 1.164720 2.189273 3.777083